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Commentary
Democrat
In a pattern we’ve seen before, Obama came out ahead of Clinton among the
most and least religiously observant : 51 percent to 47 percent among those
more-than-weekly attenders and 46 percent to 45 percent among those who
never darken the door of a house of worship. (The other votes went to John
Edwards.) This being a pretty unchurched Western state, the nevers
outnumbered the more-than-weeklies 29 percent to 9 percent. Clinton,
meanwhile, was ahead among those in the middle—who the Book of Revelation
calls lukewarm.
Clinton took the vote of most religious
grouping, doing somewhat better among Catholics than Protestants. “Other
Christians”—a category that in all likelihood is largely comprised of
non-denominational evangelicals—split almost evenly between Clinton and
Obama. For his part, Obama took the votes of the seven percent of Arizonans
belonging to other religions (not Muslims but Hindus, Buddhists, etc.) 56
percent to 40 percent. The 19 percent of no religion broke his way 47
percent to 41 percent.
Republican
Sixteen percent of Arizona Republican voters go to church more than once a
week, and of them, 41 percent voted for Romney. All other attendance
categories went to McCain. McCain won almost identical proportions of
evangelicals and non-evangelicals; Romney did somewhat better among
non-evangelicals. Huckabee won only 16 percent of evangelicals—which may say
something about Far West evangelicalism—cf. California. It’s not as
political as its Southern cousin—both in terms of issues and in terms of
church-based mobilization. But don’t underestimate the importance of
campaigning on the ground. Huckabee’s relatively weak support among Florida
evangelicals is a commentary on his campaign’s decision not to make an
effort there. |